Market opportunities
The deployment of 40 Gb/s is expected to follow a path similar to when 10 Gb/s was initially introduced 7 years ago. At that time, 10 Gb/s systems were primarily deployed to provide a capacity boost of new systems, and later to support 10 Gb/s interfaces on high-end routers. As the number of installed 10 Gb/s systems increased, the benefit of high volume made 10 Gb/s systems very cost effective, further increasing the deployment rate and eventually providing carriers with the 40% cost savings.

Though the main long-term driver for deployment of 40 Gb/s systems is the lower cost per managed bit per km, a main near term driver for deployment of 40 Gb/s transport system is the need to support 40 Gb/s services. High-end routers with OC-768/STM-256 interfaces are on the horizon prompting many carriers and service providers to prepare their backbone network to 40 Gb/s data rates. This is because native 40 Gb/s services can more efficiently be transported by a 40 Gb/s line rate rather than using a costly and complicated inverse-multiplexing transport scheme that is also difficult to maintain and manage. Moreover, by adding 40 Gb/s data rates on the last wavelengths in an installed 10 Gb/s system provides a cost effective means to upgrade capacity constrained 10 Gb/s systems, thereby offering carriers and service providers the opportunity to postpone an expensive new network installation.

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